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The news that the Guardian has chosen to endorse Nick Clegg's Liberal Democrats in the General Election hardly came as a surprise to me (they supported the attempted coup against Brown last year, and have been anti-Labour for a while now) but it still left me with a horrible sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach. 
The first general election I was eligible to vote at was in 1983. At that time moderate and senior Labour politicians had jumped ship to form a new political party, the SDP. A lot of what they said was reasonable, a lot of their thinking sound. I was at Glasgow University at the time, and the SDP leader Roy Jenkins won a bye-election to become our local MP. I think I saw Roy, David Owen and Shirley Williams speak at the Union more than once, and they were all polished performances.
I wasn't tempted to vote for them - my belief then, as now, was that only Labour could deliver, was even vaguely interested in delivering, relief from poverty for the greatest numbers - but I did respect them in a way that would have been unthinkable for Thatcher's Tory party.

Going into the election the SDP/Liberal alliance were running Labour a very close second in share of the popular vote, against a background of the Falklands War, three million unemployed, and bitter industrial unrest. Clearly well over 50% of the voters were against the Tories, and when I went to bed 19 year old me hoped to see that reflected the next morning.

When I woke up, the Tories had a 144 seat majority and I was sick to my stomach.

My fear for this election is that the result of splitting the anti-Tory vote will be the same as it was then. That we won't have a hung, or balanced parliament, that instead we'll have a three figure Tory majority on 40% of the vote.

To me that's a horrible prospect, and one that the Guardian's stance only makes more likely.

I really, really hope that I'm wrong.

1983 Votes summary (from Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom_general_election,_1983)

Popular vote
         
Conservative
  
42.44%
Labour
  
27.58%
SDP/Liberal
  
25.38%
Scottish National
  
1.08%
Ulster Unionist
  
0.85%
Independent
  
0.28%
Others
  
2.39%

[edit] Seats summary

Parliamentary seats
         
Conservative
  
61.08%
Labour
  
32.15%
SDP/Liberal
  
3.54%
Ulster Unionist
  
1.69%
Others
  
1.54%

Date: 2010-05-01 11:13 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
Sounds like more argument for proportional representation to me, and neither the Tories nor Labour are likely to deliver that.

I dunno. I see the point but I just don't think I should vote 'tactically' - I know there's a bit of nose cutting and face spiting, but I really believe I should vote for the candidate I believe in most. If that doesn't help at a national level, then that's out of my hands.

One thing's for sure: I cannot and will not vote for Gordon Brown as prime minister. My conscience simply won't allow it.

Date: 2010-05-01 11:31 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
One of the good things about a hung or balanced parliament is that it would almost certainly deliver proportional representation, but only from an LD/Labour coalition. The Tories have absolutely no reason to support it.
I have to say that my preference is for a Labour government, then a Labour/LD coalition.
And don't worry, unless you move to Falkirk you can't vote for GB anyway.

Date: 2010-05-01 12:43 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
I'm not sure about the hung parliament thing (literally - I haven't made my mind up whether I think it's good or bad yet). On one hand it does seem closer to a PP arrangement and it should also result in a more balanced government and compromises. In reality I fear it will learn to 'you support this and I'll support that' sort of deals and no real decisive government, which is what we need to get us out of the current mess.

Re. GB/Falkirk : True, but this is a general election, and we are effectively picking the party that will lead the country for the next four years as well as the person who will represent our constituency. Since none of the candidates have bothered their arses to come speak to me, or put anything other than party rhetoric on their literature I can only really vote on the latter.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:29 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
The SNP government up here doesn't seem to be doing too badly on the compromise thing - I think the minority government has reigned in a lot of extremism on all sides. But it is one of those "suck it and see" situations. We won't know until we've tried it. Not that I think a balanced parliament is likely.

I really don't think Brown will stay as Labour leader, win lose or draw.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:34 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
I think you're right on both counts there.

Date: 2010-05-01 12:28 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nicnac.livejournal.com
I can't vote Labour with GB at the helm either. His blunders and stealth taxes as Chancellor of the Exchequer were appalling and they have come back to roost whilst he was Prime Minister, which is scant comfort.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:31 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
Sorry, I don't agree with this. Not just on a "least worst alternative" basis (I shudder to think how bad the crash would have been with the Tories at the helm: remember "If it doesn't hurt, it isn't working?") but because he actually made a lot of good calls, even as PM.

Date: 2010-05-01 07:03 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nicnac.livejournal.com
C'mon! He:

* Failed to introduce tougher banking regulations when he had the chance.
* Almost single-handedly created the black hole of the pension defecit when he introduced a tax on pension funds - a huge, huge negative legacy.
* Disregarded advice from the Bank of England when he sold off the gold reserves at the bottom of the market, thus losing 2 BILLION pounds.
* Scrapped the 10p income tax band, thus hardly offering relief from poverty (and leaving Darling to take the flack).
* Announced that he'd dealt with the culture of boom and bust in 2000. Those words are sounding a bit hollow now during the recession, which was pretty inevitable after debt financed growth. The prudent Chancellor my arse!

IMO the man was an utter incompetent as Chancellor and hasn't behaved much better as Prime Minister.

Date: 2010-05-01 09:00 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
* Failed to introduce tougher banking regulations when he had the chance.

When the Tories were kicking and screaming about the slightest touch of regulation

* Almost single-handedly created the black hole of the pension defecit when he introduced a tax on pension funds - a huge, huge negative legacy.

I thought that black hole was more down to companies not making the payments they were contractually and legally obliged to?

* Disregarded advice from the Bank of England when he sold off the gold reserves at the bottom of the market, thus losing 2 BILLION pounds.

I'd heard it was six - but if you give him the blame for selling gold at the bottom, does he get credit for buying the banks at the same point? We should make a profit of well over £20 billion on that


* Scrapped the 10p income tax band, thus hardly offering relief from poverty (and leaving Darling to take the flack).

A terrible decision. He's apologised for it, so I won't.

* Announced that he'd dealt with the culture of boom and bust in 2000. Those words are sounding a bit hollow now during the recession, which was pretty inevitable after debt financed growth. The prudent Chancellor my arse!

How many years of stability did we have? 10? It was a big claim, but it seemed a lot more credibly 8 years before the crash.

So things not mentioned: giving the Bank of England control over interest rates. Intervening in the banking crisis, saving thousands, maybe tens of thousands of jobs, introducing a minimum wage - what were the Tories proposing at the time? Wasn't the minimum wage going to force thousands of businesses into bankruptcy?

Date: 2010-05-01 11:27 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] parthenia14.livejournal.com
I'm actually horrified that the Guardian have endorsed the LibDems, for exactly the same reasons. I assumed the sniping and backbiting was because they were so close to Labour. Ach. I may have to go and buy a paper.

I am horribly reminded of 1992, when I had just changed jobs and went to Birmingham with a devout Labour colleague to do some focus groups. Afterwards we hung out in the hotel bar to watch the election. The bar was full of Pringle-wearing salesmen and as the night unfolded, they got more drunk and uproarious and my colleague Mags got drunker and depressed to the point where I thought she'd deck the Pringle boys.

Not a good night.

Date: 2010-05-01 11:32 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
It was the morning after in 1983 that was worst for me - a bunch of us sat in Rouken Glen park, cold and miserable.

Date: 2010-05-01 12:45 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
Frankly I find it disgusting that any newspaper can be allowed to wear any political affiliation so clearly on its sleve. It biases the paper, its readers and doesn't help the democratic process one bit.

Conversely (there's a lot of contradiction in my political views - I am aware of this) I actually find small comfort in the fact that one of those with the staunchest affiliation feels able to change it.

Date: 2010-05-01 12:51 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] clanwilliam.livejournal.com
I prefer that a newspaper declare its political affiliation so openly than try to claim "balance and fairness" while sticking the knife into every other party bar its chosen one.

Date: 2010-05-01 12:53 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
Fair enough. I'd prefer they just reported the news with as little bias and slant as is humany possible myself, but that's just me living in cloud cuckoo land again.

Date: 2010-05-01 12:57 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] clanwilliam.livejournal.com
They do, in my opinion, as do some other newspapers in this country. The more ethical newspapers may well have a particular political slant, but take out the comment pages and you're usually left with an honest attempt to report the news as straightforwardly as possible.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:38 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
I think the news is reported fairly straight in all of the broadsheets - one of the Guardian's maxims is "Comment is free, but the facts are sacred".

Date: 2010-05-01 03:36 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
Any paper is going to have a political stance, whether declared or not. That will either be the stance that best suits its owner (as in the Murdoch press) the one which brings in the most advertising (The Star, The Express) or one which will attract readers (The Guardian, The Torygraph, The Mail).

I'd rather see those views expressed overtly, and be able to take that bias into account (as I used to when reading the FT, before it became a Murdoch paper) rather than have it hidden.

I suppose The Independent is an example of a paper in the UK which has no consistent editorial line.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:37 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
That'll be why I don't have any particular use for any of them.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:42 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
Fair comment. As a wise man once said "Nobody makes you read the papers."

I read newspapers, and listen to the BBC news because I want to be informed, because I think that improves my ability to form my own opinion about what's happening in the society I live in. That doesn't always make me happier, in fact it's been known to make me miserable (and probably will, next Friday) but, again, nobody makes me read the papers.

Date: 2010-05-01 03:45 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
When I feel the need to be informed about something (which I have made an effort with in this election) I tend to fall back on the BBC, which I know isn't a model of impartiality either, but the press in this country is a disgrace so I don't fund it any more than I am legally obliged to.

Date: 2010-05-01 08:52 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
The BBC is good for interviews and comment, but the average newspaper has 10 or 20 times the amount of copy devoted to a story as the BBC - I get detail from the press.

Date: 2010-05-01 07:47 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] annajaneclare.livejournal.com
You could be wrong. Unless David Cameron does something really spectacular in the next five days then the numbercrunching still points to a hung parliament, and his bounce in the polls from his debate performance is really quite measly compared to the huge surge for Clegg. Also, I'm expecting the Lib Dems to take quite a few seats from the Tories in the South and South East, in constituencies where the Labour vote is non-existent or so piffling as to barely matter.

Besides, there's five days left and five days is a long time in politics and an aeon when there's an election on. By the way, don't you think David Cameron is looking tired? ;)

Date: 2010-05-01 08:50 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
I think he looks very tired :-)

Date: 2010-05-02 07:25 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] psychochicken.livejournal.com
As an aside to the discussions herein... I keep seeing these charts on LJ and thinking what a joke our government system is. I'm starting to wonder when the Americans are going to come and bring us democracy.

Date: 2010-05-02 09:02 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] f4f3.livejournal.com
I don't think the US model would suit us - only two parties represented, massive corruption ("the pork barrel") and widespread election fraud? Nah...

Date: 2010-05-02 10:27 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] nineveh-uk.livejournal.com
On the other hand, if the Vikings would invade again and set us up with their model of stable coalition government, I'd be happy.

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